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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.14+2.81vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.69+2.79vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.59+2.55vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.01+2.51vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.51+0.02vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+2.12vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.84-2.39vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-0.11-1.35vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.72-4.58vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.55+0.26vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-1.09-1.77vs Predicted
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12American University-1.81-1.24vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.08-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Virginia Tech1.1419.4%1st Place
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4.79Washington College0.6912.4%1st Place
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5.55Christopher Newport University0.599.0%1st Place
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6.51Syracuse University0.015.5%1st Place
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5.02William and Mary0.5112.2%1st Place
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8.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.8%1st Place
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4.61Princeton University0.8411.8%1st Place
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6.65Villanova University-0.115.7%1st Place
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4.42Hampton University0.7214.9%1st Place
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10.26Rochester Institute of Technology-1.551.1%1st Place
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9.23Columbia University-1.092.2%1st Place
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10.76American University-1.811.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Pittsburgh-2.080.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Reid Shanabrook | 19.4% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Alex Heim | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Luke Hayes | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Shay Gualdoni | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Nathan Whisner | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Ryan Magill | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
Asher Green | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Jack Murray | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Stefano Palamara | 14.9% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Benjamin Knisely | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 18.6% |
Ava Rotondo | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
Lydia LoPiccolo | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 24.1% | 28.2% |
Jason "Strongbones" Case | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.