Race 14B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Shay Gualdoni 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 9.2% 8.5% 8.8% 10.4% 11.5% 12.0% 9.4% 6.5% 2.7% 0.4%
Luke Hayes 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 9.6% 11.9% 10.8% 10.8% 10.5% 9.7% 5.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Jack Murray 5.8% 6.5% 5.5% 6.4% 8.6% 9.2% 10.7% 12.4% 12.0% 11.0% 7.3% 3.6% 0.9%
Asher Green 13.1% 13.8% 13.1% 13.8% 11.6% 9.9% 10.3% 6.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 14.5% 13.1% 14.7% 12.5% 12.5% 10.0% 8.6% 7.2% 3.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 19.6% 16.4% 15.2% 13.0% 11.6% 9.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Whisner 12.1% 11.1% 11.7% 11.5% 11.2% 10.8% 10.4% 9.3% 6.5% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Alex Heim 11.8% 13.1% 12.2% 12.2% 10.7% 11.4% 9.2% 8.4% 6.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Ava Rotondo 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 5.0% 5.3% 7.5% 10.8% 15.3% 18.8% 16.7% 7.8%
Benjamin Knisely 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 3.5% 3.4% 5.1% 7.4% 12.3% 17.1% 21.5% 19.6%
Lydia LoPiccolo 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 2.6% 3.5% 7.1% 9.6% 16.2% 22.2% 30.1%
Jason "Strongbones" Case 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 4.5% 8.8% 14.2% 23.1% 38.1%
Ryan Magill 3.1% 4.0% 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 7.2% 9.2% 10.8% 13.5% 15.2% 12.2% 8.2% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.