Race 9A

nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Duncan Howes 8.1% 7.6% 9.2% 9.9% 10.6% 9.6% 11.3% 9.9% 10.9% 6.3% 5.3% 1.3%
Robert Floyd 13.9% 15.8% 13.5% 15.2% 11.1% 9.4% 8.6% 6.4% 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Peter Edmunds 9.9% 8.1% 11.6% 10.0% 10.3% 12.6% 9.8% 11.0% 9.5% 4.0% 2.6% 0.6%
Maxwell Simmons 12.3% 12.5% 13.2% 12.5% 11.7% 10.5% 10.2% 6.9% 4.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Duncan Swain 20.3% 18.9% 14.8% 11.3% 12.3% 8.1% 5.6% 4.1% 2.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 7.0% 8.8% 8.7% 8.2% 9.9% 10.0% 13.0% 10.8% 9.5% 7.2% 5.7% 1.2%
Patrick Penwell 5.5% 4.7% 6.2% 7.2% 7.1% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 13.6% 13.9% 8.0% 6.2%
Sarah Fuller 4.1% 4.0% 4.8% 5.3% 5.5% 8.2% 7.0% 10.3% 12.6% 13.3% 14.9% 10.0%
Terry Duncan 1.6% 2.1% 1.3% 3.7% 2.8% 4.4% 6.0% 8.0% 10.4% 16.0% 19.4% 24.3%
Bryce Kopp 13.5% 12.7% 12.6% 12.3% 13.0% 10.8% 9.5% 6.5% 4.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Edward Moan 2.0% 2.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.9% 4.3% 5.0% 7.7% 9.3% 13.6% 21.1% 28.4%
William Dykes 1.8% 2.6% 2.7% 2.3% 2.8% 4.1% 4.8% 8.0% 9.7% 14.3% 19.7% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.