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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.00vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+1.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.35-0.61vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.37+0.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Rhode Island1.8041.6%1st Place
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3.52Salve Regina University0.4610.7%1st Place
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2.39Tufts University1.3528.9%1st Place
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4.67Middlebury College-0.374.9%1st Place
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4.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.037.5%1st Place
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4.37University of New Hampshire-0.006.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 41.6% | 30.9% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.7% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 24.4% | 18.2% | 8.8% |
| Matthew Wallace | 28.9% | 30.4% | 21.3% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.9% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 24.1% | 39.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 22.7% | 24.2% | 19.7% |
| James Sullivan | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 25.2% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.