Race 10A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bryce Kopp 12.7% 12.0% 12.5% 12.1% 12.9% 11.2% 9.3% 7.7% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.5%
Patrick Penwell 4.4% 4.0% 5.5% 6.2% 8.0% 9.7% 8.8% 9.7% 13.9% 13.7% 10.7% 5.4%
Duncan Howes 8.6% 8.0% 8.9% 10.2% 9.8% 9.5% 11.5% 12.8% 9.3% 6.4% 4.4% 0.6%
Robert Floyd 13.3% 15.5% 13.9% 13.8% 11.0% 11.2% 8.3% 5.6% 3.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Maxwell Simmons 12.6% 13.3% 12.3% 11.7% 12.7% 9.8% 9.0% 7.5% 6.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3%
William Dykes 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 3.5% 4.2% 3.4% 6.1% 6.3% 8.9% 14.3% 20.8% 26.4%
Scott Goodrich 7.1% 7.9% 10.0% 10.7% 9.0% 9.7% 11.7% 10.2% 10.3% 7.0% 5.1% 1.3%
Peter Edmunds 10.9% 10.8% 9.1% 10.2% 10.7% 10.9% 10.8% 9.8% 8.3% 4.7% 2.3% 1.5%
Duncan Swain 21.2% 18.4% 16.0% 12.1% 10.4% 10.2% 6.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Terry Duncan 2.7% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 4.9% 8.2% 10.8% 15.1% 17.7% 25.6%
Sarah Fuller 3.2% 3.2% 4.4% 4.5% 5.4% 6.8% 8.0% 11.3% 12.4% 15.0% 15.9% 9.9%
Edward Moan 1.4% 2.6% 2.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.6% 5.6% 7.3% 9.2% 14.7% 19.9% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.