Race 11A

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Floyd 14.4% 13.8% 13.4% 14.8% 11.1% 10.2% 8.7% 5.5% 4.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.4%
Maxwell Simmons 10.9% 12.8% 12.3% 12.9% 12.7% 10.7% 9.6% 7.9% 4.8% 3.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Duncan Howes 9.0% 7.2% 9.9% 9.9% 10.0% 9.4% 11.9% 12.0% 10.4% 5.4% 3.8% 1.1%
Bryce Kopp 11.4% 13.6% 14.8% 10.5% 13.1% 10.3% 9.5% 7.2% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.5%
Sarah Fuller 3.0% 4.2% 4.1% 5.1% 5.6% 7.8% 9.0% 8.7% 12.0% 15.6% 13.3% 11.6%
Peter Edmunds 10.0% 9.3% 9.6% 9.7% 11.2% 12.7% 9.4% 10.0% 8.6% 5.7% 3.6% 0.2%
Scott Goodrich 7.7% 7.8% 9.7% 9.2% 10.4% 9.5% 11.3% 10.8% 11.1% 7.0% 4.0% 1.5%
Patrick Penwell 5.9% 5.0% 5.2% 8.3% 5.7% 7.7% 8.7% 12.9% 10.4% 14.3% 10.9% 5.0%
Duncan Swain 21.4% 19.2% 14.7% 12.3% 11.3% 8.7% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Moan 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 3.4% 4.7% 5.0% 6.2% 11.9% 13.5% 19.5% 26.4%
Terry Duncan 2.1% 1.7% 1.5% 3.0% 3.0% 4.1% 5.6% 7.0% 9.4% 14.7% 21.8% 26.1%
William Dykes 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.5% 4.2% 4.8% 8.2% 9.7% 14.0% 20.3% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.