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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.01vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+1.43vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37+1.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.35-1.53vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Rhode Island1.8041.3%1st Place
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3.43Salve Regina University0.4612.0%1st Place
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4.62Middlebury College-0.374.8%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University1.3527.5%1st Place
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4.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.038.1%1st Place
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4.38University of New Hampshire-0.006.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 41.3% | 29.8% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.0% | 16.2% | 22.6% | 23.4% | 16.9% | 8.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 25.2% | 37.6% |
| Matthew Wallace | 27.5% | 28.3% | 23.2% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 8.1% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 24.1% | 21.6% |
| James Sullivan | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 25.0% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.