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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.65+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.76+2.28vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.21+0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.34+1.55vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.79-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.55-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound1.26-3.84vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.20-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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3.48Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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6.55University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.38Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Hawkes | 28.0% | 25.3% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Fuller | 11.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 4.3% |
| Peter McGrath | 17.7% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Aaron Scull | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 23.3% | 43.2% |
| Robert Berry | 10.1% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| John Elam | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 24.4% | 32.5% |
| Mike Knape | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 12.6% |
| Casey Pruitt | 19.8% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.