Race 4A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Logan Mraz 42.0% 30.5% 14.6% 8.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Burns 29.5% 30.6% 21.3% 11.4% 4.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 4.9% 7.5% 10.5% 15.0% 14.8% 15.4% 11.7% 10.0% 7.5% 2.5%
Griffin Jones 3.4% 5.6% 9.8% 11.2% 12.9% 13.2% 14.3% 13.7% 10.4% 5.5%
Benjamin Koly 3.5% 4.0% 7.4% 10.2% 11.9% 12.1% 14.6% 16.0% 13.1% 7.2%
Alexander Pfeffer 6.0% 7.3% 12.4% 14.0% 16.9% 13.8% 11.2% 10.0% 5.9% 2.6%
John Tonzola 3.0% 4.0% 6.6% 8.5% 10.8% 12.9% 14.1% 15.6% 17.0% 7.6%
Andrew Martin 2.1% 3.5% 5.7% 6.2% 8.1% 11.5% 12.4% 15.1% 21.9% 13.6%
Oscar Gilroy 4.7% 5.7% 9.3% 12.6% 14.2% 13.3% 14.2% 13.2% 9.1% 3.8%
Julia Marich 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.1% 4.5% 6.3% 6.5% 15.1% 57.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.