Race 10A

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elizabeth Barry 9.9% 8.8% 9.1% 11.0% 9.5% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 7.6% 6.7% 6.0% 3.4% 1.9%
Emily Lambert 7.3% 9.3% 9.0% 9.1% 8.8% 10.4% 7.2% 7.6% 9.2% 8.2% 5.6% 5.7% 2.6%
Amy Hawkins 10.2% 11.5% 10.9% 10.3% 9.4% 9.7% 9.5% 7.5% 6.7% 5.5% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
Anne Haeger 18.2% 17.4% 14.1% 12.2% 9.3% 7.7% 7.2% 5.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Maggie Shea 9.2% 9.2% 10.4% 7.5% 8.0% 8.8% 9.2% 9.1% 7.4% 8.1% 6.0% 4.8% 2.3%
Sarah Lihan 7.9% 7.3% 8.0% 9.1% 8.2% 8.3% 9.1% 8.8% 8.9% 7.4% 6.7% 6.9% 3.4%
Katii Gullick 5.3% 4.0% 5.3% 6.1% 4.8% 5.8% 6.0% 7.5% 8.3% 9.5% 10.9% 13.5% 13.0%
Charlotte Williamson 3.2% 4.0% 4.3% 3.7% 4.7% 3.8% 5.9% 6.6% 9.0% 9.8% 10.5% 14.4% 20.1%
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 9.1% 9.0% 9.7% 8.9% 9.7% 8.7% 9.1% 9.2% 7.2% 6.3% 6.5% 3.6% 3.0%
Catherine Swanson 7.1% 5.4% 5.5% 6.6% 8.4% 7.5% 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 8.4% 9.3% 8.7% 8.7%
Krysta Rohde 6.4% 5.9% 7.0% 6.7% 8.0% 9.1% 8.3% 8.2% 8.4% 10.2% 8.5% 7.0% 6.3%
Caroline Wilhelm 2.8% 3.9% 3.0% 3.5% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.4% 7.2% 8.9% 12.3% 13.7% 22.2%
Kimberly Kaull 3.4% 4.3% 3.7% 5.3% 5.5% 5.8% 5.9% 7.5% 8.7% 8.3% 11.0% 15.3% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.