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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+1.44vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+1.41vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.80-1.99vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.55vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Tufts University1.3528.6%1st Place
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3.41Salve Regina University0.4611.5%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.037.1%1st Place
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2.01University of Rhode Island1.8041.9%1st Place
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4.45University of New Hampshire-0.006.0%1st Place
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4.65Middlebury College-0.374.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 28.6% | 28.8% | 21.6% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 11.5% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 23.3% | 17.4% | 7.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.1% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 24.8% | 18.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 41.9% | 29.0% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 24.1% | 33.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 25.6% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.