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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.45vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.37+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80-0.99vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.35-1.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Salve Regina University0.4612.3%1st Place
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4.63Middlebury College-0.374.5%1st Place
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2.01University of Rhode Island1.8041.0%1st Place
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2.39Tufts University1.3529.5%1st Place
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4.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.037.3%1st Place
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4.45University of New Hampshire-0.005.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 12.3% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 23.5% | 17.8% | 8.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 38.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 41.0% | 31.1% | 17.2% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wallace | 29.5% | 28.2% | 23.8% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 22.4% | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| James Sullivan | 5.1% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.