Race 2B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ben Weigel 25.2% 17.8% 18.1% 15.5% 9.4% 6.0% 4.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schmitz 8.5% 12.2% 12.4% 12.2% 11.7% 12.9% 10.2% 8.4% 7.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Collin Clark 3.4% 3.0% 2.7% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 7.9% 9.8% 13.7% 16.5% 15.4% 11.5%
Tom Peabody 7.9% 9.9% 12.5% 11.3% 12.9% 12.3% 11.0% 8.1% 6.9% 5.1% 1.5% 0.6%
Charles Lalumiere 23.9% 20.5% 14.5% 13.1% 11.0% 7.4% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jesse Thomas 6.2% 8.8% 7.3% 6.9% 8.7% 13.8% 12.8% 11.0% 11.0% 8.6% 3.6% 1.3%
Ellis Tonissi 9.7% 8.5% 9.4% 11.1% 12.1% 10.1% 11.5% 10.8% 8.9% 3.8% 3.3% 0.8%
Jennifer Lee 1.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 3.4% 4.7% 7.6% 7.8% 10.1% 15.7% 20.4% 19.6%
Christina Lewis 7.2% 9.3% 10.3% 12.2% 14.2% 11.4% 10.7% 11.1% 7.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.4%
Ann Sager 2.0% 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 3.2% 4.4% 5.9% 8.8% 10.3% 14.9% 21.6% 21.6%
John Cappetta 3.4% 3.9% 5.3% 5.2% 6.2% 7.6% 11.0% 11.8% 13.0% 15.5% 11.0% 6.1%
Cynthia Connard 1.1% 1.8% 1.3% 2.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 6.6% 8.6% 12.4% 20.2% 38.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.