Race 3B

nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christina Lewis 8.3% 7.9% 8.9% 10.9% 11.8% 11.9% 12.1% 11.1% 7.8% 6.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Tom Peabody 8.8% 9.9% 13.0% 12.4% 10.6% 11.0% 12.2% 9.8% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.2%
Ben Weigel 24.8% 21.0% 17.6% 13.2% 9.6% 5.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schmitz 9.4% 10.8% 12.1% 13.9% 12.3% 10.6% 10.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Charles Lalumiere 21.7% 22.8% 15.3% 12.3% 10.1% 8.2% 4.1% 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellis Tonissi 8.2% 8.2% 9.4% 11.6% 11.2% 13.1% 11.4% 10.3% 8.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7%
Ann Sager 2.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.5% 3.6% 5.4% 6.4% 7.1% 12.1% 14.4% 20.0% 21.5%
Collin Clark 3.3% 2.7% 4.6% 4.3% 4.9% 7.4% 6.6% 10.1% 13.2% 16.5% 16.1% 10.3%
John Cappetta 3.8% 3.2% 4.9% 5.7% 9.0% 8.1% 10.0% 13.0% 13.6% 13.6% 9.7% 5.4%
Jesse Thomas 6.6% 7.1% 8.3% 8.7% 10.8% 11.1% 11.8% 11.8% 11.5% 6.2% 4.6% 1.5%
Jennifer Lee 2.1% 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 4.1% 4.9% 5.8% 8.2% 9.9% 16.8% 20.0% 22.2%
Cynthia Connard 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 1.9% 2.0% 2.6% 3.8% 4.9% 8.3% 12.2% 22.1% 37.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.