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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+1.41vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80-1.00vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.37+0.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Tufts University1.3529.3%1st Place
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3.46Salve Regina University0.4612.3%1st Place
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2.0University of Rhode Island1.8041.1%1st Place
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4.65Middlebury College-0.374.5%1st Place
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4.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.037.1%1st Place
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4.42University of New Hampshire-0.005.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 29.3% | 28.8% | 21.8% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.3% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 9.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 41.1% | 31.1% | 17.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 25.1% | 37.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.1% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 22.2% | 24.4% | 19.7% |
| James Sullivan | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 25.1% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.