Race 4B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tom Peabody 9.1% 10.1% 9.9% 10.0% 13.8% 13.0% 11.7% 8.1% 8.2% 3.4% 2.1% 0.6%
Charles Lalumiere 22.1% 21.1% 16.4% 14.9% 9.2% 7.7% 5.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Collin Clark 2.7% 3.5% 3.1% 4.7% 5.8% 4.9% 6.6% 10.5% 13.6% 17.7% 15.5% 11.4%
Ben Weigel 23.6% 20.0% 17.9% 14.3% 10.2% 6.8% 3.9% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schmitz 10.2% 10.8% 13.2% 12.3% 11.2% 11.8% 11.0% 7.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Ellis Tonissi 7.7% 9.5% 10.1% 9.1% 13.6% 10.4% 11.8% 10.9% 8.4% 4.8% 3.1% 0.6%
Jesse Thomas 7.5% 7.1% 7.7% 10.4% 10.0% 11.3% 11.8% 11.7% 9.6% 6.5% 4.7% 1.7%
John Cappetta 4.2% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 7.2% 7.7% 9.6% 12.2% 13.2% 15.7% 8.3% 6.1%
Ann Sager 1.4% 2.0% 1.7% 3.0% 3.0% 5.8% 6.9% 8.2% 10.7% 15.8% 21.2% 20.3%
Jennifer Lee 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 5.3% 5.6% 10.3% 11.4% 14.1% 20.1% 19.8%
Cynthia Connard 1.6% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 4.7% 4.8% 8.8% 12.2% 20.7% 38.5%
Christina Lewis 8.0% 7.9% 9.7% 10.9% 11.2% 12.8% 11.3% 11.4% 8.3% 5.6% 2.4% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.