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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+0.01vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+0.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.55vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Tufts University1.3528.5%1st Place
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2.01University of Rhode Island1.8040.2%1st Place
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3.44Salve Regina University0.4612.7%1st Place
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4.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.037.4%1st Place
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4.45University of New Hampshire-0.005.9%1st Place
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4.61Middlebury College-0.375.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 28.5% | 28.9% | 23.1% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 40.2% | 31.4% | 18.6% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.7% | 16.5% | 21.4% | 23.4% | 15.8% | 10.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.4% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 26.7% | 19.3% |
| James Sullivan | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 27.2% | 30.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 22.9% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.