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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+1.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.35+0.41vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+0.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.55vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05University of Rhode Island1.8040.0%1st Place
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2.41Tufts University1.3528.9%1st Place
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3.38Salve Regina University0.4613.4%1st Place
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4.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.037.9%1st Place
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4.45University of New Hampshire-0.005.5%1st Place
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4.68Middlebury College-0.374.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 40.0% | 30.4% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wallace | 28.9% | 29.2% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 13.4% | 16.1% | 22.6% | 22.2% | 18.8% | 7.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.9% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 22.0% | 24.7% | 19.4% |
| James Sullivan | 5.5% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 24.9% | 31.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.