Race 7B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tom Peabody 9.4% 9.5% 9.4% 12.4% 13.2% 12.1% 12.1% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 2.2% 0.5%
Charles Lalumiere 22.0% 20.3% 17.0% 14.3% 10.5% 7.1% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 24.4% 20.5% 17.3% 12.1% 12.6% 6.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schmitz 9.1% 11.7% 12.5% 10.8% 11.8% 13.6% 11.3% 7.4% 6.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Christina Lewis 7.7% 9.4% 10.0% 11.7% 11.1% 12.4% 10.1% 10.2% 7.2% 6.5% 3.0% 0.7%
John Cappetta 3.8% 3.7% 5.0% 6.1% 6.3% 7.8% 10.9% 12.1% 14.8% 14.4% 9.9% 5.2%
Ellis Tonissi 8.6% 8.7% 11.8% 10.5% 10.0% 12.4% 12.0% 10.4% 7.6% 5.3% 1.5% 1.2%
Jesse Thomas 8.2% 7.9% 7.5% 9.8% 10.6% 9.5% 12.2% 11.5% 10.2% 7.4% 3.4% 1.8%
Cynthia Connard 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 3.8% 7.4% 9.2% 12.7% 21.0% 35.0%
Ann Sager 1.9% 1.7% 3.1% 2.9% 2.5% 4.7% 6.0% 8.5% 10.8% 14.8% 20.6% 22.5%
Collin Clark 2.5% 2.6% 2.2% 4.9% 5.3% 6.4% 7.9% 9.6% 13.9% 15.7% 17.3% 11.7%
Jennifer Lee 1.5% 2.7% 3.0% 2.5% 3.4% 4.3% 5.5% 8.8% 12.4% 15.0% 19.7% 21.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.