Race 8B

nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ben Weigel 22.5% 21.9% 18.5% 12.9% 9.5% 6.9% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Tom Peabody 8.7% 10.8% 11.5% 12.0% 12.8% 10.8% 11.8% 9.4% 7.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Christina Lewis 8.3% 8.8% 11.2% 9.7% 11.0% 11.6% 11.0% 11.5% 9.8% 4.4% 2.3% 0.4%
Jesse Thomas 4.9% 8.0% 8.1% 10.6% 9.2% 13.8% 11.9% 10.8% 8.5% 8.2% 4.6% 1.4%
Ellis Tonissi 8.3% 8.6% 9.3% 10.3% 12.7% 11.6% 12.8% 8.9% 8.8% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2%
Collin Clark 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 5.1% 5.7% 4.7% 7.8% 11.5% 11.3% 17.4% 17.3% 10.5%
Ryan Schmitz 11.1% 11.4% 12.2% 12.1% 12.5% 11.9% 10.0% 8.7% 5.1% 2.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Charles Lalumiere 25.9% 19.1% 15.6% 13.8% 10.2% 6.9% 4.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Jennifer Lee 1.8% 1.4% 2.0% 3.6% 3.0% 4.9% 7.3% 10.2% 12.1% 17.8% 18.4% 17.5%
Cynthia Connard 1.2% 0.9% 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 4.3% 5.1% 8.8% 12.2% 18.9% 38.5%
Ann Sager 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 4.8% 3.9% 5.2% 8.1% 11.1% 14.1% 21.1% 24.8%
John Cappetta 3.4% 4.5% 3.7% 5.7% 6.4% 10.1% 10.2% 10.9% 14.4% 14.6% 11.3% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.