Race 9B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christina Lewis 8.5% 7.7% 10.2% 8.9% 13.2% 11.0% 12.8% 11.8% 7.9% 4.5% 2.8% 0.7%
Ben Weigel 23.6% 20.7% 15.8% 15.9% 8.7% 6.7% 5.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Lalumiere 22.4% 20.7% 17.6% 13.7% 10.5% 7.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Schmitz 9.4% 10.3% 14.3% 11.1% 11.7% 13.5% 9.7% 8.7% 6.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Ellis Tonissi 8.1% 9.6% 9.4% 12.2% 10.6% 10.5% 11.2% 11.2% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.7%
Collin Clark 2.3% 3.0% 3.6% 4.8% 5.5% 5.7% 7.4% 9.2% 15.1% 16.5% 16.8% 10.1%
Tom Peabody 10.8% 10.1% 12.8% 10.9% 10.5% 13.1% 10.4% 9.4% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Jennifer Lee 1.5% 2.2% 3.7% 3.4% 4.5% 4.0% 7.8% 7.1% 11.3% 14.5% 19.8% 20.2%
Cynthia Connard 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 3.2% 3.7% 6.9% 10.4% 13.0% 19.9% 35.1%
Jesse Thomas 6.9% 7.9% 7.0% 9.6% 11.3% 11.4% 10.9% 11.8% 9.5% 8.4% 4.3% 1.0%
Ann Sager 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 3.0% 3.1% 4.6% 6.4% 7.3% 10.6% 14.2% 19.7% 26.2%
John Cappetta 3.7% 4.5% 3.0% 4.9% 8.0% 9.3% 9.5% 12.9% 13.4% 15.4% 10.5% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.