Race 10B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Lalumiere 21.0% 20.0% 18.5% 13.3% 11.2% 7.0% 4.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 24.1% 22.5% 15.6% 12.5% 10.6% 6.7% 4.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christina Lewis 9.6% 6.9% 11.1% 8.9% 11.2% 12.7% 11.6% 11.3% 9.2% 4.6% 2.6% 0.3%
Tom Peabody 7.6% 10.9% 11.2% 11.6% 12.4% 11.9% 12.5% 8.8% 6.4% 4.7% 1.4% 0.6%
Jesse Thomas 6.7% 6.9% 7.7% 9.9% 10.3% 12.2% 10.2% 11.8% 10.7% 7.9% 4.2% 1.5%
Collin Clark 2.6% 2.1% 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 5.6% 8.5% 10.0% 13.3% 16.4% 17.5% 10.0%
John Cappetta 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 6.3% 7.8% 8.4% 8.9% 12.4% 13.7% 13.7% 10.3% 5.6%
Ellis Tonissi 9.5% 8.9% 9.7% 11.2% 11.1% 11.2% 11.8% 10.6% 7.4% 5.4% 1.9% 1.3%
Ryan Schmitz 10.0% 11.9% 12.0% 12.4% 12.8% 12.1% 11.6% 7.4% 5.9% 3.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Cynthia Connard 1.3% 1.1% 2.2% 2.9% 2.1% 3.2% 3.9% 6.7% 7.8% 13.0% 18.2% 37.6%
Ann Sager 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 3.1% 2.9% 4.0% 6.7% 7.2% 11.4% 14.3% 22.4% 23.0%
Jennifer Lee 1.5% 3.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.3% 5.0% 5.8% 7.4% 12.6% 16.3% 21.0% 19.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.