Race 1B

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlotte Lipschitz 9.8% 10.9% 10.4% 9.9% 8.6% 7.5% 8.9% 8.5% 8.2% 6.6% 4.3% 3.8% 2.6%
Elizabeth Powers 8.9% 8.8% 8.7% 8.2% 9.4% 8.5% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 7.4% 6.5% 5.4% 3.6%
Chandler Salisbury 6.7% 8.0% 9.3% 7.5% 6.7% 8.1% 8.7% 8.7% 8.8% 7.6% 8.3% 7.8% 3.8%
Alexandra Arntsen 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 6.7% 6.9% 6.8% 7.1% 7.3% 8.8% 7.7% 11.0% 11.6% 10.6%
Elizabeth Whipple 9.5% 9.2% 8.6% 8.6% 8.4% 7.3% 8.4% 7.9% 8.7% 8.2% 5.8% 5.9% 3.5%
Jennifer Proctor 9.0% 8.2% 8.5% 9.2% 8.4% 8.7% 8.9% 8.3% 6.6% 8.2% 6.0% 6.3% 3.7%
Claire Dennis 10.6% 10.0% 10.1% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 7.8% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 6.1% 3.3% 2.0%
Emily Maxwell 10.2% 10.5% 9.6% 8.4% 9.5% 9.3% 9.2% 7.3% 8.1% 6.7% 5.0% 3.9% 2.3%
Margaret Tautz 11.3% 12.0% 10.3% 9.3% 9.7% 9.6% 8.1% 8.0% 6.4% 5.7% 4.0% 4.0% 1.6%
Katherine Doble 4.7% 3.2% 5.3% 4.5% 4.4% 5.1% 6.5% 7.7% 6.9% 7.9% 11.5% 13.7% 18.6%
Jamie Curran 2.7% 2.5% 1.9% 4.8% 4.1% 5.2% 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 8.9% 9.5% 14.5% 31.2%
Bethany Leonard 5.8% 4.6% 4.8% 6.5% 6.8% 7.3% 6.6% 6.4% 8.1% 9.0% 12.7% 10.9% 10.5%
Brendan Cook 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.1% 7.8% 7.3% 7.4% 9.4% 8.4% 8.5% 9.3% 8.9% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.