Race 11B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tom Peabody 9.3% 9.3% 10.0% 12.2% 11.6% 14.2% 11.2% 9.3% 6.5% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Christina Lewis 7.4% 8.8% 9.9% 11.4% 11.5% 12.8% 12.0% 10.4% 8.4% 4.1% 2.6% 0.7%
Ryan Schmitz 10.6% 10.8% 11.8% 12.4% 11.5% 12.3% 12.8% 7.8% 6.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Charles Lalumiere 21.4% 20.7% 19.7% 13.9% 9.5% 6.9% 3.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jesse Thomas 6.5% 6.4% 8.4% 9.5% 10.0% 11.4% 13.6% 10.3% 9.1% 8.4% 5.4% 1.0%
John Cappetta 3.6% 3.6% 5.9% 6.1% 6.7% 8.4% 9.0% 11.6% 15.0% 13.9% 11.8% 4.4%
Ben Weigel 24.4% 22.3% 16.1% 12.4% 11.2% 6.0% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellis Tonissi 9.5% 9.8% 8.8% 11.2% 12.0% 10.2% 10.1% 11.2% 7.8% 5.6% 2.9% 0.9%
Jennifer Lee 1.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 4.4% 4.4% 7.6% 10.3% 11.0% 18.3% 17.6% 18.3%
Collin Clark 2.9% 3.0% 4.1% 3.8% 5.1% 6.6% 7.6% 10.9% 14.0% 14.7% 16.5% 10.8%
Ann Sager 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 2.2% 4.1% 4.2% 5.6% 7.5% 10.7% 14.7% 21.1% 24.6%
Cynthia Connard 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 5.9% 9.1% 13.3% 18.9% 38.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.