← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University-0.90+2.21vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-0.47+0.75vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-0.60-0.11vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.50-2.22vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-2.11-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21Ohio State University-0.9011.8%1st Place
-
2.75Purdue University-0.4718.2%1st Place
-
2.89Michigan State University-0.6016.0%1st Place
-
1.78University of Michigan0.5050.4%1st Place
-
4.37Ohio State University-2.113.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jolene Jirousek | 11.8% | 17.2% | 24.3% | 31.1% | 15.6% |
| James Miller | 18.2% | 26.6% | 25.1% | 22.2% | 8.0% |
| Brynna Smith | 16.0% | 22.8% | 26.7% | 25.4% | 9.2% |
| Adrian Stone | 50.4% | 28.2% | 15.2% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Robert Rennard | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.