Race 2B

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlotte Lipschitz 10.5% 9.2% 10.4% 10.4% 8.6% 8.0% 9.6% 8.3% 5.8% 8.0% 5.3% 3.5% 2.4%
Elizabeth Whipple 7.4% 9.6% 6.6% 9.2% 9.1% 8.7% 9.0% 7.3% 6.9% 8.6% 8.1% 6.5% 3.0%
Margaret Tautz 10.8% 11.4% 11.4% 9.1% 9.2% 10.6% 9.1% 7.7% 7.1% 5.0% 4.2% 3.5% 0.9%
Claire Dennis 10.1% 8.9% 10.4% 9.7% 9.2% 9.4% 8.3% 8.3% 5.7% 7.6% 6.8% 3.6% 2.0%
Jennifer Proctor 9.1% 8.0% 9.0% 9.9% 7.2% 7.5% 8.6% 7.9% 8.8% 8.3% 6.8% 5.3% 3.6%
Emily Maxwell 11.3% 9.4% 10.0% 9.2% 9.9% 9.4% 7.5% 6.6% 7.6% 7.2% 4.6% 4.4% 2.9%
Katherine Doble 5.2% 3.9% 4.8% 5.0% 5.6% 4.8% 4.6% 5.6% 7.4% 9.2% 10.6% 15.3% 18.0%
Bethany Leonard 5.5% 6.6% 5.0% 5.7% 7.1% 6.4% 8.1% 8.0% 9.4% 7.7% 10.3% 9.9% 10.3%
Chandler Salisbury 7.9% 7.6% 7.4% 8.4% 7.6% 8.1% 7.6% 9.9% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 7.6% 5.4%
Jamie Curran 3.5% 2.5% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.8% 4.9% 5.0% 6.5% 7.5% 9.4% 14.4% 33.5%
Alexandra Arntsen 5.3% 5.5% 6.1% 6.5% 6.5% 6.9% 8.0% 8.1% 9.6% 8.8% 9.6% 10.3% 8.8%
Elizabeth Powers 7.5% 10.2% 9.0% 7.9% 7.6% 9.0% 7.6% 8.6% 9.1% 6.4% 7.1% 6.2% 3.8%
Brendan Cook 5.9% 7.2% 6.9% 6.4% 9.0% 7.4% 7.1% 8.7% 9.1% 8.4% 9.0% 9.5% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.