← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.50+0.77vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-0.47+0.71vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-0.90+0.22vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-0.60-1.09vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-2.11-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.77University of Michigan0.5049.8%1st Place
-
2.71Purdue University-0.4718.5%1st Place
-
3.22Ohio State University-0.9011.8%1st Place
-
2.91Michigan State University-0.6016.4%1st Place
-
4.39Ohio State University-2.113.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Stone | 49.8% | 29.6% | 14.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| James Miller | 18.5% | 26.1% | 27.5% | 21.7% | 6.2% |
| Jolene Jirousek | 11.8% | 17.5% | 23.8% | 30.3% | 16.5% |
| Brynna Smith | 16.4% | 22.0% | 25.2% | 26.7% | 9.6% |
| Robert Rennard | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.