Race 1A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brooke Schmelz 11.3% 9.5% 11.2% 11.2% 10.8% 11.0% 10.2% 11.8% 10.7% 2.3%
Trevor Davis 12.4% 12.1% 13.0% 13.5% 11.9% 11.3% 10.4% 8.5% 5.8% 1.1%
Tyler Mowry 14.3% 14.5% 13.1% 13.2% 12.3% 10.8% 8.9% 7.3% 4.8% 0.8%
John (Jack) Plavan 13.7% 12.2% 11.6% 10.2% 12.6% 10.6% 11.2% 10.2% 7.0% 0.8%
Ben Rosenberg 9.0% 9.8% 8.9% 9.7% 9.9% 10.9% 12.0% 12.7% 13.9% 3.1%
Will Priebe 9.7% 11.2% 10.5% 11.3% 10.3% 11.5% 10.2% 10.9% 12.1% 2.2%
Thomas Styron 10.4% 10.5% 11.3% 9.9% 10.9% 10.8% 11.4% 10.6% 11.3% 2.9%
Patrick Mulcahy 6.0% 8.0% 7.0% 8.8% 8.6% 10.2% 12.5% 13.7% 19.8% 5.2%
Mathieu Dale 12.2% 11.6% 12.3% 10.9% 10.8% 11.6% 10.9% 10.3% 8.3% 1.0%
Avery Zieper 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 2.2% 4.0% 6.3% 80.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.