Race 3B

women-ne-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Maxwell 9.9% 9.2% 10.5% 10.6% 8.5% 8.2% 8.9% 9.1% 6.7% 6.1% 5.8% 4.3% 2.2%
Margaret Tautz 11.0% 10.8% 11.1% 11.3% 10.8% 9.0% 6.6% 7.4% 7.5% 5.3% 4.3% 3.5% 1.4%
Elizabeth Powers 7.4% 8.8% 9.6% 9.1% 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 7.4% 5.7% 6.1% 2.9%
Emily Dellenbaugh 9.9% 9.0% 9.3% 9.3% 9.0% 8.9% 9.5% 7.1% 7.8% 6.9% 6.8% 4.6% 1.9%
Claire Dennis 10.5% 10.3% 11.3% 8.8% 9.0% 8.0% 7.7% 9.2% 7.2% 6.6% 5.4% 4.0% 2.0%
Chandler Salisbury 8.5% 6.8% 9.0% 7.9% 7.7% 9.0% 7.8% 9.3% 8.0% 8.2% 6.8% 6.7% 4.3%
Brendan Cook 8.8% 7.4% 6.6% 7.8% 6.4% 7.3% 8.5% 7.6% 8.2% 9.3% 8.1% 8.6% 5.4%
Jamie Curran 2.6% 4.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 3.0% 4.6% 5.3% 6.8% 7.1% 10.5% 16.1% 31.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 5.6% 4.8% 5.2% 5.4% 6.6% 7.1% 7.3% 6.7% 8.8% 8.6% 11.1% 11.5% 11.3%
Katherine Doble 4.8% 4.7% 3.1% 4.0% 5.4% 5.9% 5.8% 8.2% 6.5% 9.3% 10.3% 12.7% 19.3%
Elizabeth Whipple 8.4% 9.9% 9.7% 7.6% 9.4% 9.0% 8.8% 8.5% 7.4% 6.4% 7.8% 3.9% 3.2%
Bethany Leonard 5.1% 5.6% 4.2% 7.7% 5.8% 6.8% 7.2% 5.9% 9.0% 9.8% 10.1% 11.0% 11.8%
Jennifer Proctor 7.5% 8.7% 7.9% 7.3% 9.3% 9.2% 8.7% 6.9% 7.9% 9.0% 7.3% 7.0% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.