Race 2A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Mowry 15.8% 14.7% 13.9% 11.5% 12.1% 9.7% 9.7% 6.8% 5.2% 0.7%
Ben Rosenberg 8.1% 8.8% 8.9% 9.5% 10.4% 11.8% 12.2% 12.8% 14.3% 3.2%
Thomas Styron 11.5% 9.8% 10.7% 10.1% 9.9% 10.8% 12.1% 11.6% 11.3% 2.4%
John (Jack) Plavan 13.0% 11.3% 11.3% 11.7% 12.1% 11.2% 9.2% 10.4% 8.4% 1.3%
Brooke Schmelz 9.6% 10.3% 11.3% 11.8% 10.3% 10.8% 11.7% 11.3% 11.1% 1.8%
Patrick Mulcahy 7.0% 7.7% 8.8% 9.8% 9.7% 10.7% 11.4% 14.0% 16.9% 4.2%
Trevor Davis 13.2% 13.2% 12.9% 13.2% 11.9% 11.5% 9.1% 8.2% 6.0% 0.8%
Will Priebe 8.9% 11.1% 10.2% 8.6% 11.7% 11.8% 11.2% 11.6% 12.6% 2.5%
Avery Zieper 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 2.4% 3.9% 5.5% 82.3%
Mathieu Dale 12.0% 12.2% 11.0% 12.8% 10.9% 10.8% 11.2% 9.5% 8.8% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.