Race 3A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Mowry 16.4% 14.6% 13.9% 11.6% 11.0% 11.0% 9.4% 6.3% 5.3% 0.4%
Thomas Styron 10.1% 10.8% 10.8% 11.2% 11.2% 10.2% 11.1% 11.9% 10.8% 1.9%
Brooke Schmelz 9.2% 9.6% 9.3% 10.7% 10.0% 13.1% 12.2% 11.6% 11.9% 2.3%
Mathieu Dale 12.4% 12.6% 13.0% 10.7% 11.1% 11.5% 11.2% 8.1% 8.1% 1.5%
John (Jack) Plavan 11.6% 12.9% 11.2% 12.2% 12.1% 11.7% 9.8% 9.8% 7.3% 1.5%
Ben Rosenberg 8.0% 8.8% 8.9% 10.2% 10.2% 10.1% 11.7% 14.8% 14.1% 3.1%
Trevor Davis 14.1% 12.4% 11.6% 12.7% 11.4% 10.5% 10.1% 9.1% 6.7% 1.5%
Will Priebe 10.0% 10.0% 10.9% 10.8% 12.2% 10.4% 10.4% 11.4% 11.5% 2.4%
Patrick Mulcahy 7.1% 7.4% 9.3% 9.0% 9.8% 10.0% 11.8% 14.1% 17.9% 3.5%
Avery Zieper 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.9% 6.5% 81.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.