Race 4A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ben Rosenberg 9.6% 8.2% 9.9% 9.7% 10.2% 9.9% 12.0% 12.3% 14.8% 3.5%
Brooke Schmelz 9.8% 10.2% 11.2% 9.8% 11.2% 12.0% 10.9% 11.8% 11.1% 1.9%
Thomas Styron 10.7% 10.4% 10.8% 10.8% 10.5% 11.1% 11.7% 10.9% 10.8% 2.2%
Trevor Davis 13.9% 12.8% 11.8% 12.5% 10.7% 12.2% 9.8% 8.6% 6.8% 0.9%
Tyler Mowry 14.2% 14.5% 14.1% 11.8% 12.0% 10.8% 10.0% 7.0% 4.9% 0.6%
Mathieu Dale 11.8% 12.6% 10.6% 12.2% 11.6% 10.2% 11.3% 9.2% 8.8% 1.7%
John (Jack) Plavan 12.2% 12.7% 12.2% 12.6% 11.5% 9.6% 9.6% 9.8% 8.2% 1.7%
Patrick Mulcahy 7.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.9% 11.2% 10.2% 11.9% 15.2% 17.2% 3.1%
Will Priebe 9.4% 10.8% 10.4% 10.4% 10.2% 11.7% 10.7% 12.3% 11.7% 2.4%
Avery Zieper 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 0.9% 2.4% 2.1% 2.6% 5.9% 82.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.