Race 5A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Styron 9.8% 11.1% 11.3% 11.9% 10.5% 10.7% 10.5% 12.0% 10.4% 1.7%
Ben Rosenberg 8.9% 8.8% 9.2% 10.3% 10.4% 10.7% 10.6% 12.5% 14.9% 3.5%
John (Jack) Plavan 11.2% 12.9% 12.6% 10.7% 11.6% 11.8% 11.6% 8.9% 7.3% 1.4%
Mathieu Dale 12.2% 12.0% 10.9% 11.7% 11.7% 10.3% 12.0% 9.2% 8.6% 1.3%
Patrick Mulcahy 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 9.1% 10.3% 11.8% 13.5% 18.1% 3.5%
Trevor Davis 13.2% 11.8% 13.6% 11.8% 12.0% 10.7% 11.1% 8.7% 6.2% 0.8%
Brooke Schmelz 10.1% 9.5% 9.2% 11.0% 10.7% 10.0% 12.1% 12.3% 12.0% 3.0%
Will Priebe 10.0% 9.7% 9.7% 10.4% 10.9% 13.1% 10.5% 11.9% 11.7% 2.2%
Tyler Mowry 16.1% 15.2% 14.1% 11.5% 11.8% 10.4% 7.5% 7.9% 4.7% 0.9%
Avery Zieper 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 5.9% 81.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.