Race 6A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Mowry 14.4% 14.4% 14.5% 11.5% 12.6% 10.4% 9.4% 8.2% 3.9% 0.6%
Thomas Styron 10.5% 9.7% 9.8% 11.2% 11.9% 11.2% 11.4% 11.2% 10.8% 2.1%
Ben Rosenberg 9.2% 9.3% 9.2% 10.0% 9.8% 10.9% 11.5% 11.6% 15.2% 3.4%
Patrick Mulcahy 6.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.6% 10.2% 10.4% 12.2% 13.4% 18.1% 3.8%
Trevor Davis 14.2% 13.6% 12.4% 12.7% 10.8% 11.2% 9.4% 9.2% 5.7% 0.8%
Mathieu Dale 11.0% 11.2% 11.6% 10.9% 12.1% 11.8% 11.8% 10.2% 7.6% 1.8%
John (Jack) Plavan 12.9% 12.3% 12.0% 12.7% 10.5% 10.1% 11.2% 9.1% 8.0% 1.2%
Will Priebe 10.5% 10.7% 9.9% 9.9% 10.9% 10.3% 10.4% 12.6% 12.3% 2.4%
Brooke Schmelz 9.8% 9.7% 11.2% 11.5% 9.6% 11.9% 10.4% 11.1% 12.6% 2.1%
Avery Zieper 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 5.9% 81.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.