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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+7.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+7.07vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+0.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+0.61vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.61+1.73vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.68+3.60vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69-0.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55-1.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-1.49vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.87-4.08vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.28-3.38vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.48-4.91vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-0.43vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.67-1.73vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-0.85vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.16-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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4.61Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.6Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.92Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.09Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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12.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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12.27University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.13McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Perry | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 24.4% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 19.7% | 11.5% |
| Amelia Connell | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 10.2% |
| Shane Baker | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 14.2% | 24.7% | 39.0% |
| Andries Feder | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 25.7% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.