← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.94+3.86vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.71+3.16vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.79+1.22vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.97+0.73vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.12-0.40vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.82-0.86vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.30-0.93vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.72vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.59-3.43vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University-0.83-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.86Roger Williams University1.9412.2%1st Place
-
5.16Northeastern University1.7110.8%1st Place
-
4.22Boston University1.7915.4%1st Place
-
4.73Boston College1.9713.1%1st Place
-
4.6Tufts University2.1212.3%1st Place
-
5.14Brown University1.829.8%1st Place
-
6.07Tufts University1.306.8%1st Place
-
5.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.8%1st Place
-
5.57University of Rhode Island1.597.8%1st Place
-
9.37Northwestern University-0.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mathieu Dale | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
Will Priebe | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 2.1% |
Tyler Mowry | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
John (Jack) Plavan | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
Trevor Davis | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
Thomas Styron | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
Patrick Mulcahy | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 4.3% |
Brooke Schmelz | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 2.6% |
Ben Rosenberg | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 3.3% |
Avery Zieper | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.