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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.68+8.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+1.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+1.48vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+2.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.28+2.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82+3.18vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69-0.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55-1.31vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-1.41vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.87-4.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+1.46vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-3.72vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.48-5.94vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.67-1.75vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-0.88vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.16-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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3.38University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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4.48Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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9.18Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.95Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.06Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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12.25University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.15McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Greason | 1.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 25.1% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Marcos Darcy | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Forgione | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 20.5% | 21.4% | 11.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 10.4% |
| Shane Baker | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 23.6% | 39.3% |
| Andries Feder | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 25.8% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.