Race 8A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ben Rosenberg 9.0% 8.8% 9.2% 10.1% 10.4% 11.1% 11.6% 12.7% 14.4% 2.8%
John (Jack) Plavan 12.8% 13.6% 11.2% 12.2% 10.8% 9.8% 10.8% 9.6% 7.8% 1.4%
Mathieu Dale 11.6% 11.9% 11.8% 12.6% 11.0% 12.3% 10.0% 9.0% 8.6% 1.3%
Tyler Mowry 14.9% 15.2% 14.5% 12.8% 11.1% 10.0% 10.1% 6.0% 4.7% 0.8%
Will Priebe 9.6% 9.7% 10.3% 9.1% 11.2% 11.1% 11.9% 12.9% 11.6% 2.5%
Thomas Styron 9.9% 10.1% 9.6% 12.8% 11.7% 11.6% 10.1% 11.3% 10.6% 2.4%
Trevor Davis 14.8% 11.2% 13.0% 11.2% 11.7% 10.9% 10.0% 8.9% 7.2% 1.0%
Patrick Mulcahy 8.0% 8.3% 8.2% 8.6% 9.6% 9.0% 11.2% 14.3% 18.5% 4.4%
Brooke Schmelz 8.8% 10.2% 10.9% 9.7% 11.3% 12.6% 11.9% 11.9% 10.3% 2.3%
Avery Zieper 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 3.2% 6.3% 81.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.