← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.59+4.62vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.79+2.36vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.97+1.71vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.94+0.78vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.39vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.12-1.51vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.71-1.79vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.82-2.88vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.30-3.09vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University-0.83-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.62University of Rhode Island1.598.2%1st Place
-
4.36Boston University1.7914.8%1st Place
-
4.71Boston College1.9712.0%1st Place
-
4.78Roger Williams University1.9412.8%1st Place
-
5.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.5%1st Place
-
4.49Tufts University2.1214.3%1st Place
-
5.21Northeastern University1.7110.4%1st Place
-
5.12Brown University1.8211.2%1st Place
-
5.91Tufts University1.307.1%1st Place
-
9.41Northwestern University-0.830.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Rosenberg | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 3.1% |
Tyler Mowry | 14.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
John (Jack) Plavan | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
Mathieu Dale | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 1.9% |
Trevor Davis | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
Will Priebe | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 2.3% |
Thomas Styron | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
Patrick Mulcahy | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 3.9% |
Avery Zieper | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.