Race 10A

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mathieu Dale 12.1% 11.7% 12.2% 12.0% 12.7% 11.7% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 1.3%
Ben Rosenberg 8.7% 8.8% 9.3% 10.9% 11.3% 10.2% 12.9% 10.9% 13.9% 3.0%
Brooke Schmelz 9.8% 10.3% 10.9% 9.4% 10.4% 11.1% 11.8% 12.5% 11.8% 1.9%
Trevor Davis 12.8% 13.2% 14.5% 10.8% 10.9% 10.4% 10.3% 8.9% 7.2% 0.9%
Tyler Mowry 18.2% 14.8% 11.8% 11.7% 10.9% 10.3% 8.8% 8.1% 5.1% 0.4%
Thomas Styron 9.9% 10.0% 10.9% 10.5% 10.8% 11.2% 11.8% 12.4% 10.2% 2.2%
John (Jack) Plavan 11.2% 11.9% 11.5% 13.0% 11.8% 11.8% 10.5% 8.5% 8.2% 1.7%
Patrick Mulcahy 7.7% 7.4% 8.6% 9.4% 9.9% 9.7% 11.6% 14.2% 17.2% 4.2%
Avery Zieper 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 3.6% 6.9% 81.5%
Will Priebe 9.2% 11.1% 9.0% 11.3% 10.2% 11.9% 11.2% 11.9% 11.4% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.