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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+5.74vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.68+7.51vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+5.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+1.94vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69+1.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.28+1.76vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.61-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-4.71vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.82+0.10vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-5.50vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.48-3.95vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+0.54vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.67-0.68vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.16-0.02vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-0.85vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.32-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.94Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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9.1Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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4.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.05Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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12.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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12.32University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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13.98McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 26.6% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 13.4% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 20.3% | 19.6% | 12.3% |
| Amelia Connell | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 10.8% |
| Andries Feder | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 23.7% | 35.4% |
| Shane Baker | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 25.6% | 38.5% |
| Margaret Bacon | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.