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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.32vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+2.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.82+6.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+2.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+0.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32+1.67vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.48+0.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55-1.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.28-1.38vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.61-3.28vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.16+2.97vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-3.75vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.67-0.62vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.68-4.51vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-2.37vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.18-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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4.52Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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9.08Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.53Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.87Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.13Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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13.97McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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12.38University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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12.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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14.14University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 26.4% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Marcos Darcy | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andries Feder | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 24.2% | 37.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 10.4% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Forgione | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 19.8% | 12.4% |
| Shane Baker | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 26.3% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.