Race 4B

women-ne-reed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elizabeth Powers 8.9% 8.8% 9.0% 8.8% 9.3% 6.9% 8.9% 9.0% 7.3% 8.4% 6.3% 5.7% 2.7%
Emily Dellenbaugh 8.7% 10.6% 7.7% 10.4% 10.5% 7.5% 8.4% 7.7% 8.3% 8.1% 5.3% 4.9% 1.9%
Emily Maxwell 9.0% 10.1% 11.5% 8.6% 8.9% 8.6% 7.6% 8.8% 9.1% 6.5% 5.1% 3.9% 2.3%
Margaret Tautz 12.1% 10.3% 11.5% 10.2% 10.5% 8.8% 7.8% 6.9% 7.0% 6.3% 4.2% 2.2% 2.2%
Jamie Curran 3.3% 2.9% 3.3% 3.7% 2.9% 4.7% 5.8% 3.6% 6.5% 7.0% 8.8% 16.0% 31.5%
Jennifer Proctor 9.4% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 8.3% 7.8% 9.4% 9.3% 6.7% 7.8% 6.7% 6.3% 3.0%
Claire Dennis 11.2% 10.4% 9.9% 8.0% 8.8% 10.1% 8.0% 7.7% 7.4% 6.3% 6.1% 4.1% 2.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 4.6% 6.6% 5.2% 6.7% 4.6% 7.9% 6.5% 8.4% 8.0% 8.8% 12.0% 9.5% 11.2%
Elizabeth Whipple 8.3% 7.9% 8.6% 9.1% 7.9% 7.9% 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.4% 8.0% 6.2% 4.6%
Chandler Salisbury 9.0% 7.7% 7.0% 8.9% 8.3% 8.9% 7.1% 7.5% 7.2% 8.5% 7.7% 6.5% 5.7%
Bethany Leonard 5.7% 5.9% 7.1% 5.2% 6.9% 7.8% 7.7% 8.4% 9.7% 8.1% 9.7% 9.5% 8.3%
Katherine Doble 3.6% 3.9% 3.0% 4.6% 6.7% 5.3% 5.5% 5.9% 7.3% 8.7% 10.6% 16.4% 18.5%
Brendan Cook 6.2% 7.1% 7.6% 6.9% 6.4% 7.8% 8.7% 8.5% 7.3% 9.1% 9.5% 8.8% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.