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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.32vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+6.18vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+1.56vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.55+2.98vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+0.90vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82+3.20vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.68+2.63vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.28-0.40vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.48-2.00vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.61-3.29vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32-3.46vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58+0.51vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.16+1.04vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.69-7.75vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.67-2.56vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.18-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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4.56Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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6.98Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.2Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.0Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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14.04McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.25Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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12.44University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 25.9% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 14.3% |
| Andries Feder | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 24.6% | 35.8% |
| Marcos Darcy | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Amelia Connell | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 20.7% | 21.3% | 9.5% |
| Shane Baker | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 24.4% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.