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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.94+3.16vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+1.85vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.59-0.07vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71-1.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12-2.94vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.82-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Roger Williams University1.9415.6%1st Place
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3.85Boston University1.7915.7%1st Place
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4.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6312.7%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University1.307.7%1st Place
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4.93University of Rhode Island1.5910.0%1st Place
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4.67Northeastern University1.7111.2%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University2.1216.2%1st Place
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4.57Brown University1.8211.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mathieu Dale | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
Tyler Mowry | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
Lucy Brock | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
Patrick Mulcahy | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 23.1% |
Ben Rosenberg | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 17.1% |
Will Priebe | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.2% |
Trevor Davis | 16.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% |
Thomas Styron | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.