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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+5.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+3.80vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+4.70vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.55+2.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.32+2.55vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-3.56vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.16+6.01vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.48-1.99vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.68-0.37vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.69-4.62vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.67+0.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-0.43vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.18+0.06vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.82-5.78vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.09-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.8Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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4.53Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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3.44University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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14.01McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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6.38Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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12.32University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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12.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.22Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.32Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 24.4% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andries Feder | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 25.0% | 37.4% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Marcos Darcy | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 11.6% |
| Timothy Forgione | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 12.9% |
| Shane Baker | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 36.2% |
| Reid Secondo | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.