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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+3.57vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.58vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+1.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79-0.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.94-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.59-1.16vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71-2.32vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.30-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Brown University1.8212.8%1st Place
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4.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6311.7%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University2.1214.6%1st Place
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3.79Boston University1.7917.1%1st Place
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4.28Roger Williams University1.9414.0%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island1.5910.2%1st Place
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4.68Northeastern University1.7110.9%1st Place
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5.19Tufts University1.308.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thomas Styron | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.7% |
Lucy Brock | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% |
Trevor Davis | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% |
Tyler Mowry | 17.1% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
Mathieu Dale | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
Ben Rosenberg | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 16.6% |
Will Priebe | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.8% |
Patrick Mulcahy | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.