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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+5.69vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.61+4.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+5.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+2.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.82+4.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-3.56vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.68+1.42vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.48-1.98vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.32-2.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.28-3.36vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-7.46vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.16+1.07vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.67-1.70vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-0.85vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.52Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.17Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.91Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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3.44University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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7.02Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.54Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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14.07McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.3University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 24.6% | 19.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Becker Awqatty | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Bacon | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andries Feder | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 25.5% | 36.5% |
| Amelia Connell | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 14.8% | 11.4% |
| Shane Baker | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 13.6% | 25.7% | 38.9% |
| Timothy Forgione | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 22.2% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.