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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.94+3.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.51vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.59+0.83vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71-0.37vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82-1.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30-1.68vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Roger Williams University1.9414.0%1st Place
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4.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6313.4%1st Place
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3.79Boston University1.7917.9%1st Place
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4.83University of Rhode Island1.5910.3%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University1.719.7%1st Place
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4.66Brown University1.8210.8%1st Place
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5.32Tufts University1.308.2%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University2.1215.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mathieu Dale | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% |
Lucy Brock | 13.4% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
Tyler Mowry | 17.9% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
Ben Rosenberg | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.7% |
Will Priebe | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% |
Thomas Styron | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% |
Patrick Mulcahy | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 24.6% |
Trevor Davis | 15.6% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.