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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+7.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+5.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+4.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+2.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+0.89vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.68+3.66vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-3.54vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.48-1.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-4.56vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.55-3.09vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.09-2.71vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.16+2.03vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.61-6.35vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.67-1.73vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.58-2.36vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.18-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.66Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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3.46University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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6.95Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.44Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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6.91Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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14.03McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.27University of New Hampshire0.670.0%1st Place
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12.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.580.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Secondo | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Margaret Bacon | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 26.4% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.7% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Andries Feder | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 22.9% | 37.8% |
| Jonathan Pope | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Connell | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 9.8% |
| Timothy Forgione | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 22.4% | 12.1% |
| Shane Baker | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 24.9% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.