Race 2B

south-series-4

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Chanel Miller 14.2% 13.3% 11.7% 11.0% 10.1% 7.8% 7.7% 6.6% 5.2% 5.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Bailey 3.5% 4.8% 4.8% 4.7% 5.3% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 9.4% 7.1% 8.5% 9.9% 10.6% 9.5% 4.6% 0.7%
Emily Petno 8.2% 6.5% 8.1% 6.7% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.9% 8.3% 8.4% 6.6% 6.0% 3.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 11.7% 12.0% 9.5% 12.5% 9.7% 9.6% 6.2% 7.7% 6.3% 5.4% 4.9% 2.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
James Kennedy 7.6% 7.7% 7.7% 8.0% 8.5% 8.9% 8.4% 7.2% 7.9% 7.2% 7.5% 5.2% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 7.7% 7.4% 10.0% 9.5% 7.9% 9.5% 8.1% 7.2% 7.9% 7.2% 4.5% 5.6% 4.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Macklin Fluehr 6.8% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 6.5% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 8.1% 8.2% 9.0% 7.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 7.9% 6.6% 8.0% 6.9% 8.3% 7.8% 8.9% 6.8% 8.2% 5.6% 3.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Henry Dumke 12.1% 12.3% 9.4% 9.2% 10.5% 8.6% 7.3% 8.3% 6.1% 4.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Rolfe Glover 8.4% 7.5% 8.4% 7.6% 7.8% 7.7% 10.3% 8.8% 8.5% 6.8% 7.2% 5.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
George Luber 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 3.7% 4.7% 3.2% 5.4% 8.5% 9.2% 12.6% 21.1% 11.4% 2.8%
Zachary Vickerson 3.4% 4.0% 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 7.2% 5.6% 6.1% 7.3% 8.7% 9.6% 12.9% 11.3% 5.9% 0.6%
Victoria McGruer 4.1% 4.7% 6.7% 6.4% 5.8% 6.3% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 8.8% 9.5% 6.8% 8.9% 6.6% 2.9% 0.1%
Simon Altman 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 5.4% 4.7% 5.1% 6.4% 8.2% 11.1% 12.0% 17.4% 8.7% 2.8%
Alison Deyett 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 1.3% 2.2% 3.5% 6.9% 26.3% 53.3%
Kimberly Jackman 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 2.1% 4.2% 4.6% 8.3% 34.1% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.