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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.81+3.43vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.23+3.89vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.65+4.87vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+0.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.86-1.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.54-0.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43-1.94vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-1.87vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-5.44vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.20-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43University of Rhode Island1.8114.1%1st Place
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5.89Roger Williams University1.237.2%1st Place
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7.87Northeastern University0.652.2%1st Place
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4.46Boston University1.6513.2%1st Place
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3.99Brown University1.8616.5%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University1.548.8%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.4310.3%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.206.3%1st Place
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3.56Boston College2.2019.4%1st Place
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8.3Northwestern University-0.201.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joshua Bartoszuk | 14.1% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
Chase Reynolds | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 5.1% |
Carter Brock | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 24.2% | 32.0% |
Micky Munns | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
Leyton Borcherding | 16.5% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Bryan Trammell | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
Jack Flores | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
Julia Wyatt | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 7.8% |
Michael Kirkman | 19.4% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Owen Lubben | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 19.8% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.