Race 4B

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chase Reynolds 8.0% 7.2% 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 11.1% 13.0% 15.0% 13.5% 6.0%
Carter Brock 1.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 6.3% 8.1% 12.7% 23.5% 31.9%
Julia Wyatt 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 9.1% 9.0% 11.7% 12.4% 15.7% 13.4% 6.1%
Micky Munns 12.5% 12.0% 12.7% 11.3% 12.8% 12.8% 10.4% 8.8% 4.8% 1.9%
Joshua Bartoszuk 12.4% 13.9% 14.1% 13.9% 12.6% 11.1% 9.2% 7.5% 4.2% 1.1%
Leyton Borcherding 16.0% 15.2% 14.2% 15.0% 12.2% 10.1% 8.3% 5.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Michael Kirkman 20.3% 19.3% 16.0% 13.4% 11.6% 7.8% 5.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.2%
Bryan Trammell 9.2% 10.2% 9.2% 10.4% 11.6% 13.0% 12.3% 11.6% 9.0% 3.5%
Owen Lubben 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 3.8% 7.2% 9.2% 20.5% 46.5%
Jack Flores 10.4% 8.8% 11.2% 11.8% 12.9% 12.3% 13.1% 10.5% 6.7% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.