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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+5.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.38+4.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.86+3.96vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+1.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.58vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-2.12vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13-1.82vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.33-3.62vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-2.36vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.97vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.35Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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5.83Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.18Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.38Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Margaret Tautz | 10.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Doble | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 15.8% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 34.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.