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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.81+3.51vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+2.56vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.23+2.82vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+2.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.86-0.91vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.54-0.73vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.20-3.53vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.43-2.92vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.65-1.21vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.20-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of Rhode Island1.8113.0%1st Place
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4.56Boston University1.6512.6%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University1.237.3%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.207.1%1st Place
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4.09Brown University1.8614.4%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University1.549.6%1st Place
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3.47Boston College2.2020.8%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University1.4310.1%1st Place
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7.79Northeastern University0.652.9%1st Place
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8.34Northwestern University-0.202.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joshua Bartoszuk | 13.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Micky Munns | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
Chase Reynolds | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
Julia Wyatt | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 7.2% |
Leyton Borcherding | 14.4% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Bryan Trammell | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
Michael Kirkman | 20.8% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Jack Flores | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
Carter Brock | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 27.6% | 28.8% |
Owen Lubben | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 17.6% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.