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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.85+4.60vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+3.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.57+3.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+0.21vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+0.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30+0.60vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45-1.12vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.37+1.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.13vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.59-4.51vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.81-2.86vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.05-4.71vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.26+0.28vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.71-5.41vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.32Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.57Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.7Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.51McGill University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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6.49Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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14.28University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.59Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.77University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Dumke | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Petno | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Simon Altman | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| George Luber | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 3.6% |
| Jacob Martz | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Bailey | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 34.0% | 37.3% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 26.5% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.