← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joshua Bartoszuk 13.0% 12.4% 13.8% 12.4% 12.3% 12.2% 10.1% 8.5% 4.4% 0.9%
Micky Munns 12.6% 12.8% 12.1% 13.5% 13.0% 11.8% 10.8% 7.6% 4.2% 1.7%
Chase Reynolds 7.3% 8.8% 8.1% 8.6% 9.6% 11.2% 13.0% 14.8% 12.5% 6.2%
Julia Wyatt 7.1% 5.9% 7.6% 8.9% 9.0% 11.3% 12.8% 15.8% 14.3% 7.2%
Leyton Borcherding 14.4% 15.5% 15.6% 13.7% 13.1% 10.4% 8.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.6%
Bryan Trammell 9.6% 8.9% 9.4% 11.8% 11.9% 11.2% 13.9% 11.9% 8.2% 3.1%
Michael Kirkman 20.8% 20.0% 16.6% 13.0% 10.6% 8.6% 6.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Jack Flores 10.1% 10.4% 10.7% 11.3% 11.7% 12.6% 11.6% 12.4% 7.3% 2.1%
Carter Brock 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 7.2% 12.3% 27.6% 28.8%
Owen Lubben 2.2% 1.9% 2.6% 3.0% 4.3% 5.0% 6.2% 8.2% 17.6% 49.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.