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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.81+3.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+3.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.23+2.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+1.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.54+0.37vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.86-1.82vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.65+0.83vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65-3.48vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.20-0.65vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39University of Rhode Island1.8115.4%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University1.4310.6%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University1.236.2%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.206.3%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University1.548.8%1st Place
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4.18Brown University1.8614.2%1st Place
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7.83Northeastern University0.653.5%1st Place
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4.52Boston University1.6512.7%1st Place
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8.35Northwestern University-0.202.1%1st Place
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3.52Boston College2.2020.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joshua Bartoszuk | 15.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
Jack Flores | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
Chase Reynolds | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 5.2% |
Julia Wyatt | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 6.7% |
Bryan Trammell | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
Leyton Borcherding | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Carter Brock | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 26.5% | 30.7% |
Micky Munns | 12.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
Owen Lubben | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 18.8% | 47.4% |
Michael Kirkman | 20.2% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.