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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.05+7.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57+4.55vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+2.34vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59+2.64vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+1.98vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.85-0.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49-0.03vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.37+2.47vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.30-1.53vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.81-0.74vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-5.84vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.28-4.46vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.26+1.29vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.05vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.71-5.35vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.34Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.8Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.47McGill University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.26Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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14.29University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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14.75University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria McGruer | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Petno | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Henry Dumke | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Simon Altman | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Bailey | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 31.1% | 39.6% |
| George Luber | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 3.1% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 27.7% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.