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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+2.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.86+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.81+1.43vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+0.59vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.43+0.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+0.08vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.23-1.09vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.54-2.72vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.65-1.11vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.20-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Boston College2.2022.5%1st Place
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4.05Brown University1.8615.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Rhode Island1.8114.2%1st Place
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4.59Boston University1.6511.3%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University1.4310.0%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.206.4%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University1.237.1%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University1.548.4%1st Place
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7.89Northeastern University0.652.7%1st Place
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8.31Northwestern University-0.202.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Kirkman | 22.5% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Leyton Borcherding | 15.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Joshua Bartoszuk | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
Micky Munns | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
Jack Flores | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
Julia Wyatt | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 7.3% |
Chase Reynolds | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
Bryan Trammell | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
Carter Brock | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 25.9% | 31.1% |
Owen Lubben | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 20.3% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.