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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+4.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+4.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.26+10.27vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57+1.71vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97-0.55vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+1.41vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59-1.58vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-2.09vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.71-0.39vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.37-0.47vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.81-2.82vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-5.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.04vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-7.39vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.68Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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14.27University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.45Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.53McGill University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.18Brown University1.810.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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14.77University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 31.2% | 39.5% |
| Rolfe Glover | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kendal Richardson | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Simon Altman | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| Peter Bailey | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| George Luber | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 3.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 27.7% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.