Race 10B

south-series-4

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Henry Dumke 11.4% 11.3% 10.5% 10.8% 8.3% 9.7% 9.1% 6.5% 5.5% 7.0% 3.2% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 8.3% 9.7% 9.2% 8.9% 9.0% 7.1% 8.7% 6.9% 7.8% 6.7% 5.7% 5.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Simon Altman 3.4% 2.5% 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 3.8% 4.7% 5.0% 7.2% 8.2% 9.6% 14.3% 17.7% 8.5% 2.2%
Kendal Richardson 11.2% 13.0% 10.5% 9.5% 9.1% 12.1% 7.8% 6.2% 5.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Vickerson 2.9% 3.5% 2.9% 4.0% 6.2% 5.6% 5.3% 6.0% 7.6% 7.3% 8.3% 10.6% 12.3% 11.7% 4.7% 1.1%
James Kennedy 7.7% 7.5% 8.2% 7.3% 8.6% 7.1% 8.9% 8.6% 7.7% 7.6% 6.4% 6.8% 3.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Rolfe Glover 9.0% 8.4% 7.8% 7.6% 8.8% 7.4% 8.1% 7.5% 7.7% 8.0% 7.2% 5.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Peter Bailey 4.0% 4.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.2% 5.9% 4.7% 7.1% 7.0% 7.2% 9.9% 10.5% 9.9% 9.5% 4.4% 0.6%
Macklin Fluehr 6.6% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 8.8% 7.0% 7.3% 8.6% 8.0% 7.2% 6.5% 8.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Kimberly Jackman 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 2.0% 2.2% 3.7% 8.8% 35.3% 38.8%
Victoria McGruer 5.8% 5.5% 4.8% 5.4% 6.5% 5.6% 6.2% 7.3% 6.5% 9.8% 9.6% 9.0% 9.4% 5.4% 3.0% 0.2%
Chanel Miller 13.1% 12.8% 12.2% 10.5% 8.6% 7.5% 8.0% 8.7% 6.4% 4.2% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 5.4% 5.7% 8.7% 7.6% 6.5% 8.1% 8.3% 7.8% 8.8% 7.3% 8.2% 6.6% 5.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Emily Petno 8.0% 6.5% 8.1% 9.3% 7.1% 8.8% 8.2% 7.6% 8.9% 7.1% 6.9% 5.7% 4.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
George Luber 2.5% 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.0% 2.8% 4.2% 4.4% 5.3% 6.1% 7.8% 9.1% 12.6% 20.7% 11.7% 3.7%
Alison Deyett 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 0.4% 1.4% 2.6% 2.3% 3.7% 6.3% 26.5% 53.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.