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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+8.34vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.00vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.62vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00+6.12vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.28+10.26vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26+3.19vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.29+1.98vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18+1.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.08-2.90vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-2.88vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-4.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.66vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-5.70vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.23-4.71vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.41-6.37vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.05-5.83vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.72-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.12Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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16.26Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.98Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.5Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.1Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.12Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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10.29Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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11.17Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Ryan Anderson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 63.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.