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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+10.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+5.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+7.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.13vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+3.79vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.59+6.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.46vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-1.65vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.29+0.80vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.08-3.17vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-2.61vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-4.95vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.41-3.86vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-3.51vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-4.79vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.28+0.17vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.72-4.79vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University3.26-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.09Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.25Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.59Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.35Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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6.83Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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16.17Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 9.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Anderson | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 60.3% |
| Samuel Cushing | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.