Race 1C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chip Kreuzkamp 13.3% 13.9% 13.3% 12.6% 11.8% 10.3% 9.6% 7.8% 5.7% 1.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.0% 7.5% 9.1% 8.9% 10.3% 9.4% 9.7% 13.3% 15.8% 7.8%
Julius Heitkoetter 11.8% 11.1% 10.4% 11.3% 10.8% 10.9% 11.5% 10.1% 9.3% 2.7%
Jonathan Riley 12.2% 11.8% 12.4% 10.2% 10.4% 10.2% 11.9% 9.6% 8.3% 3.0%
Connor Macken 11.3% 11.7% 10.5% 11.6% 9.3% 12.2% 10.2% 10.0% 10.5% 2.9%
Shea Smith 12.9% 12.3% 11.9% 11.5% 11.8% 9.8% 10.3% 10.5% 7.0% 2.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.1% 10.2% 9.6% 11.5% 11.6% 11.7% 10.5% 10.2% 10.2% 4.5%
Luke Hosek 7.6% 8.1% 8.6% 8.1% 10.1% 10.1% 12.0% 13.7% 14.5% 7.3%
Connor Rosow 11.2% 11.6% 12.0% 11.7% 11.2% 11.3% 10.8% 8.7% 8.1% 3.2%
Anna Kovacs 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 4.2% 3.5% 6.1% 10.5% 64.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.