Race 2C

spring-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jonathan Riley 11.6% 11.5% 11.3% 10.5% 12.8% 10.5% 11.6% 9.0% 8.0% 3.1%
Connor Macken 9.5% 10.6% 11.4% 11.8% 10.4% 12.4% 10.7% 10.0% 9.8% 3.5%
Connor Rosow 11.9% 11.8% 12.8% 11.9% 10.8% 10.1% 9.7% 9.7% 9.2% 2.1%
Julius Heitkoetter 12.0% 11.3% 11.9% 12.2% 11.2% 10.7% 10.3% 9.9% 7.6% 2.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.6% 8.8% 8.3% 8.1% 9.3% 10.4% 10.7% 11.7% 16.4% 7.8%
Shea Smith 13.9% 13.1% 11.7% 10.5% 10.9% 9.3% 10.0% 9.8% 7.8% 3.0%
Luke Hosek 7.5% 7.8% 6.7% 9.7% 9.0% 11.8% 12.4% 13.9% 14.8% 6.5%
Chip Kreuzkamp 13.4% 13.2% 13.5% 12.8% 11.6% 10.3% 9.7% 8.3% 5.9% 1.5%
Santiago Hirschmann 10.3% 9.8% 10.2% 10.6% 11.4% 11.1% 11.2% 11.3% 10.1% 4.0%
Anna Kovacs 1.2% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 3.4% 3.8% 6.5% 10.4% 66.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.