Race 3C

spring-oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Julius Heitkoetter 11.9% 12.2% 10.5% 11.5% 14.0% 10.3% 10.8% 9.2% 7.3% 2.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 8.1% 8.5% 8.2% 9.2% 8.6% 10.3% 10.9% 12.3% 15.8% 8.1%
Luke Hosek 7.6% 7.8% 9.1% 7.5% 9.2% 11.1% 10.9% 13.5% 15.3% 8.0%
Jonathan Riley 10.8% 10.8% 10.2% 12.3% 11.7% 10.0% 10.5% 9.8% 9.9% 4.0%
Chip Kreuzkamp 13.4% 14.2% 14.9% 12.2% 11.1% 10.8% 10.1% 6.6% 5.5% 1.2%
Shea Smith 13.6% 11.6% 11.7% 11.4% 11.2% 11.5% 10.1% 10.0% 7.0% 2.1%
Connor Macken 11.8% 12.2% 10.8% 10.7% 10.5% 11.7% 9.8% 10.2% 8.9% 3.4%
Santiago Hirschmann 9.6% 10.1% 10.1% 10.1% 10.4% 10.7% 12.4% 11.7% 10.8% 4.2%
Connor Rosow 11.5% 10.8% 12.2% 12.7% 11.2% 10.9% 10.3% 10.1% 7.8% 2.6%
Anna Kovacs 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 2.9% 4.2% 6.6% 11.6% 64.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.